The Denver Nuggets will look to avoid a fourth straight defeat tonight when they host the San Antonio Spurs. The defending champs have won three straight, but two of those three wins came at home. I don't think the Spurs should be giving up so many points tonight on the road at the high altitude of Denver.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Nuggets are 12-9 at home this season, giving them one more home win than the Spurs have on the road (11). The Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

2. Tony Parker - He scored just four points on 2-of-5 shooting in the win over the Jazz on Sunday. He hasn't scored 20 points in any of his last eight games played, averaging just over eight points per game during that span.

3. X-Factor - The Nuggets are 31-11 ATS in their last 42 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Selection: This is a play on the Denver Nuggets (10*)