Two slumping teams will face off at Air Canada Centre tonight as the Toronto Maple Leafs are hosting the Arizona Coyotes. Both teams look to avoid an eighth straight loss, but remember that all but one of the Leafs losses during that span have come on the road. I think they'll wipe the floor with the Coyotes tonight back on home ice.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Leafs have produced only six goals over their seven game slide but I expect an offensive outburst tonight. They're averaging 3.5 goals in their own building compared to 2.2 goals per game on the road and have covered the puckline in 10 of their last 11 home wins.

2. The Coyotes Defense - Arizona's "star" netminder Mike Smith has had a rough season. He's posting a league worst 3.49 GAA, is leading the NHL with his 20 losses for the season and has allowed 12 goals over his last three games. To be fair Smith he's not had much help from his D, facing no less than 123 shots over that three game span.

3. X-Factor - Phil Kessel leads the Leafs with his 44 points for the season but has been quiet of late producing only one point over his last seven games. He had good success earlier this season against Phoenix though, setting up both of Toronto's goals in a 3-2 loss.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (8*)