Two slumping teams will face off at Air Canada Centre tonight as the Toronto Maple Leafs are hosting the Arizona Coyotes. Both teams are looking to avoid an eighth straight loss. With both sides struggling on the defensive end of the rink, I expect them to come out all guns blazing trying to outscore each-other here. Only four of the last 17 meetings have gone under, and I expect that trend to continue.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Leafs have produced only six goals over their seven game slide but I expect an offensive outburst tonight. They're averaging 3.5 goals in their own building compared to 2.2 goals per game on the road and the over is 5-1 in their last six at home.

2. The Coyotes Defense - Arizona's "star" netminder Mike Smith has had a rough season. He's posting a league worst 3.49 GAA, is leading the NHL with his 20 losses for the season and has allowed 12 goals over his last three games. To be fair to Smith, he's not had much help from his D, facing no less than 123 shots over that three game span.

3. X-Factor - Phil Kessel leads the Leafs with his 44 points for the season but has been quiet of late producing only one point over his last seven games. He had good success earlier this season against Phoenix though, setting up both of Toronto's goals in a 3-2 loss.

Selection: This is a play on ARI@TOR to go over the total (10*)