The Louisville Cardinals will have a chance to avenge a 72-71 loss to the Tar Heels at Chapel Hill a few weeks ago when they host North Carolina this afternoon. The Tar Heels come in hot, riding a six game win streak, but I think their luck is going to run out here on Saturday.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Tar Heels have not been a good bet in conference play in recent seasons, failing to cover the points in 11 of their last 13 versus the ACC.

2. Home Cookin' - Louisville has a home record of 11-2, and given that they came just one point away from upsetting the Tar Heels at Chapel Hill, we should expect them to fare much better at home.

3. X-Factor - Terry Rozier has scored 49 points on 19-of-31 shooting over the Cardinals last two games. Look for him to continue to feel the hot hand at home Saturday.

Selection: This is a play on the Louisville Cardinals (10*)