The Grizzlies are coming off consecutive wins on the road at Portland and Los Angeles, and they are favored to make it three in a row tonight in Sacramento. The Kings haven't played since Sunday, coming off a blowout loss to the Clippers. This game appears to have the potential to be a mismatch, and Sacramento is likely to struggle offensively. My money is on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Memphis has won nine straight in this series, and five of the last six saw the total fall short of the number. All of the last four meetings in Sacramento have gone under, and the Grizz have played four straight unders versus teams with a losing record.

2. Grizzlies Defense - The Grizz own the league's #1 ranked scoring defense allowing an average of 95.5 points per game. They've held the opposition below 100 points in six of their last seven games overall.

3. X-Factor - The Kings have seen the total go under in 10 of their last 14 home games versus opponents with a winning record. Tonight's opponent will likely be tougher than all those previous teams.

Selection: This is a play on the Grizzlies@Kings to go UNDER the total (10*)