Despite how close Houston came to recording an upset in Games 1 & 2, they still get absolutely no respect. The Warriors are as big a favorite here in Game 5 than they were in both previous home games in this series, and once again I am all over this inflated line.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Warriors are a double-digit home favorite, but they've only covered the spread twice in their last 10 home games. Houston got off to a fast start in Games 1 & 2 , and I expect more of the same tonight.

2. James Harden - He was terrible in Game 3 in Houston, but bounced back to score 45 points in a blowout win for Houston in Game 4. He was money from beyond the arc, hitting 7-of-11 three-point attempts. Harden scored 38 points in Game 2 at Oracle Arena, and the Rockets took a lead to the locker room at halftime in that game.

3, X-Factor - The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Selection: This is a play on the Houston Rockets (10*)