The Marlins will host the Cubs in the rubber match of a three game series in Miami tonight, and the home team will be an underdog in this contest. The Marlins look like a good bet here sending a hot pitcher to the mound.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Dan Haren will be on the hill for the Marlins, and he's been Miami's best pitcher this season. Haren (5-2, 3.03 ERA) tossed six shutout innings in a 1-0 win over the Orioles in his last start at home. He's 2-0 with a 1.45 ERA in five starts at Marlins Park so far. The Cubs counter with Jon Lester, who lost his last start at home against Washington.

2. Giancarlo Stanton - The Marlins slugger leads the National Leagues with 45 RBIs so far, and last year he finished with a league high 105. He did the bulk of his damage at home, batting in 67 of those 105 runs at Marlins Park.

3. X-Factor - The Marlins are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Selection: This is a play on the Miami Marlins +1.5 (8*)