The Pirates come into Atlanta tonight as winners of 11 of their last 13, and they are just a slight favorite against a Braves team with an overall losing record. I like Pittsburgh to stay hot here at Turner Field.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Charlie Morton will be on the hill for the Pirates, and he's been flawless so far. (2-0, 1.93 ERA) gave up two runs on three hits over seven innings in a win over the Padres in his last start. The Braves counter with 24 year old Williams Perez, who is making just his second home start of the season. The right-hander has struggled with his control, and he walked four batters in seven innings in his last start.

2. Atlanta Bullpen - The Braves relievers gave up seven runs in a 9-8 loss to Atlanta on Wednesday, and Atlanta's bullpen ranks last in the majors with a 4.81 ERA.

3. X-Factor - Andrew McCutchen is batting .467 with 10 extra base hits and 11 RBIs during a 9-2 stretch over the Pirates last 13 games.

Selection: This is a play on the Pittsburgh Pirates (10*)