The Blue Jays host Baltimore this afternoon at Rogers Center, looking to match their longest home winning streak in franchise history. Toronto should have the edge on the mound, with a seasoned veteran starting opposite a youngster making his season debut.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Marke Buehrle will get the nod for Toronto, and he's looking to beat the Orioles for the fourth time this season. Buehrle is 3-0 with a 3.50 ERA against Baltimore in 2015. He's also 3-1 with a 3.56 ERA in five starts at home in Toronto. The Orioles counter with 24 year old Kevin Gausman, who is returning from a shoulder injury.

2. Previous History - Toronto has won seven of 10 versus the Orioles this season, with 43 extra-base hits in those games. Jose Bautista is 7-for-25 with a pair of home runs and seven RBIs against the Orioles this year.

3. X-Factor - The Blue Jays are 21-7 in Buehrle's last 28 starts as a home favorite.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (10*)