Two struggling NL East rivals will take Turner Field for the opener of a four-game set Wednesday night. The visiting Miami Marlins have won just one of their last eight while the Atlanta Braves have won two of their last 10. The Braves are sitting third in the division five games ahead of the Marlins in fourth and I like them to run away with this game.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Fish hand the ball to Jose Urena (1-5, 4.37 ERA) who conceded five runs (four earned) on eight hits in five ininngs of a 5-3 home-loss to the Padres his last start. The 23 year old rookie did not walk a batter in that contest but had given out 11 free passes over his last three starts prior and he's 0-2 with a 5.03 ERA in five road-outings for the year. The Braves will counter with another rookie in 22 year old Matt Wisler (5-2, 4.44) who was lit up for seven runs on eight hits in 4 2/3 innings at Philadelphia his most recent start. He's been rock-solid home at Atlanta though, earning the "W" in each of his three starts behind a 2.33 ERA.

2. Road Woes - Miami has won just 17 of its 52 road-games on the year while Atlanta is 27-22 at home. The Braves are 6-1 in their last seven games as a home favorite.

3. X-Factor - The Braves have won seven of nine meetings on the season while limiting Miami to 2.78 runs per game.

Selection: This is a play on the Atlanta Braves (10*)