The Marlins snapped New York's eight game winning streak last night at Citi Field, evening the series at 1-1. The series wraps up tonight, and I expect the Mets to punish a rookie Marlins pitcher in the series finale.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Marlins hand the ball to Adam Conley, who has worked out of the bullpen for most of the season. The left-hander has been hit hard on the road, posting an ERA of 6.62 in five appearances. The Mets counter with veteran right-hander Bartolo Colon, who has put zeros on the board in four of his last five starts. He tossed a complete game shutout at Miami two weeks ago, and he shutout the Phillies through eight innings in his last start at Citi Field.

2. Home Cookin' - Bartolo Colon is 3-0 lifetime at home versus the Marlins, and he's 4-1 with a 2.15 ERA in five starts versus Miami this season.

3. X-Factor - Yoenis Cespedes has hit 17 home runs and batted in 42 runs in 42 games with the Mets since coming over from Detroit.

Selection: This is a play on the New York Mets -1.5 (8*)