The AL East is still very much up for grabs as the Yankees and the Blue Jays play Game 2 of a three game series in Toronto on Tuesday. The Jays hold a 3.5 game lead, but with a dozen games remaining the race is far from over. With a pair of quality pitchers on the mound in a high stakes game at Rogers Center tonight, I expect a low scoring tilt.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Yankees hand the ball to Luis Severino, who has won four of his last five starts. The rookie right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA in four starts on the road so far. He lost his only previous start in Toronto, but it was a quality start allowing three runs in six innings. The Jays counter with Marco Estrada, who is 7-3 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 12 starts.

2. Previous History - Both teams have struggled at the plate in the season series, with nine of the last 12 head to head meetings falling short of the total. The Jays have seen the total go under in 12 of their last 17 home games.

3. X-Factor - The Yankees are batting an American League worst .221 in the month of September.


Selection: This is a play on the Yankees@Jays to go UNDER the total (10*)