The Yankees won in Toronto in extra-innings last night, evening this series at 1-1 and pulling to within 2.5 games of the Blue Jays in the AL East standings. They face a tough match-up here in the rubber match, facing a hot young pitcher at Rogers Center.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Blue Jays will hand the ball to Marcus Stroman, who has impressed in his return from the disabled list. Stroman (2-0, 3.00 ERA) allowed one runs on six hits over seven innings in a 6-1 home win over Boston in his last start. His season debut came in a 10-7 win over the Yankees in the Bronx, and he allowed three runs on four hits over five innings in that game. The Yankees counter with Ivan Nova, who is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in three starts versus Toronto in 2015.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Jose Bautista is batting .368 with a home run and six RBIs lifetime versus Nova, while Edwin Encarnacion is 9-for-26 (.346) with a homer and seven RBIs against the right-hander.

3. X-Factor - The Blue Jays are 38-16 in their last 54 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays (6*)