Free Pick on New England (1*)
(NFL) Jacksonville vs. New England,
Point Spread: -13.50 | -108.00 New England (Home)
Result: Win
The New England Patriots have been an offensive juggernaut through the first two weeks, scoring at will against Pittsburgh an Buffalo. They host an improved Jacksonville team here this week, and I expect to see another blowout for win for the defending champions.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Tom Brady - He's silenced all critics by throwing for 754 yards with seven TDs and no INTs in wins over the Steelers and Bills. More than half of his touchdown passes have gone to Rob Gronkowski, who looks unstoppable so far with 207 yards and four TDs.

2. Previous History - The Jaguars are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games during the month of September, and they were 0-8 on the road in 2014.

3.X-Factor - Jacksonville has traveled to New England four times since 2003, losing all four games by an average margin of 19.5 points.

Selection: This is a play on the New England Patriots (Free 1* Pick)