The Southern Methodist Mustangs will host East Carolina on Saturday, and the Mustangs are getting points versus the Pirates. I think East Carolina is coming in a little overrated after upsetting Virginia Tech last Saturday, and l think this could be a close low scoring affair. My money is on the under in this one.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pirates Offensive Line - East Carolina's quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and two TDs with one INT against Virginia Tech. The Pirates have allowed seven sacks so far, and that number could climb with injuries on the offensive line. Dontae Levingston did not play last week, and is questionable for Saturday's game, while C.J. Struyk is out with a knee injury.

2. Matt Davis - The Mustangs quarterback has only thrown two TD passes over the last two weeks, although he has averaged almost 100 yards rushing per game. He ran for a season high 125 yards in a 31-13 home win over North Texas a few weeks ago, and I expect a similar performance here Saturday.

3. X-Factor - These teams have met five times since 2005, going over the total in three of those games. Only once has the total been as high as the number in this game though.


Selection: This is a play on the Pirates@Mustangs to go UNDER the total (10*)