*10* SURE SHOT on New Orleans Pelicans.

The Minnesota Timberwolves ended a nine-game slide with a 117-87 win against the lowly Suns home at Target Center Sunday. I think they'll find it hard to repeat that success at New Orleans tonight, and I expect the Pelicans to run away with a big win tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Situational - The Pelicans lost 101-99 at Memphis last night, but they're 5-2 ATS in their last seven when playing on no days rest and also 5-2 ATS in their last seven when playing a team with a losing straight up record.

2. Previous Meetings - This will be the first meeting of the season, but the Pelicans won last season's four meetings by an average of 22.5 points and they've covered the spread in each of their last four when hosting Minnesota.

3. X-Factor - The Pelicans Anthony Davis has averaged 22.3 points in three games since returning from a back injury and he had 21 points, eight rebounds and three blocks last night.

Selection: This is a play on the New Orleans Pelicans (10*)