Rogers' 5-Play NBA Report - 69-50 +$14,156 NBA Y-T-D!
(NBA) Phoenix vs. Cleveland,
Total: 210.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
*8* play on UNDER Suns/Cavs.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are still trying to get used to a new philosophy under head coach Tyronn Lue, who apparently wants to speed up the offense. The bookmakers have taken notice of the change of plans, but I think they might have overcompensated with a swollen total for tonight's contest.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Cleveland's Defense - The Cavs are the top defensive team in the Eastern Conference, and they are allowing opponents to average just 96 points per game. They held Phoenix to just 79 points in their last home meeting with the Suns.

2. Home Cookin' - These two teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last six meetings in Cleveland, and the Cavs have gone under in nine straight versus teams with a losing record.

3 X-Factor - The under is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

Selection: This is a play on the Suns@Cavs to go UNDER the total (8*)