The Villanova Wildcats will take on Iowa in the second round of the NCAA Tournament Sunday, and the Big East champs are favored to advance to the Sweet 16. Villanova was particularly impressive defensively in their first round win over UNC Ashville, and I think the total for this match-up looks a little inflated. My money is on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Hawkeyes are struggling, shooting just 39.8 percent over their last five games. They shot just 34.8 percent in their overtime win over Temple in the first round, and they were just 7-of-28 (25%) from beyond the arc. The under is 10-4 in the Hawkeyes last 14 neutral site games.


2. Jarod Uthoff - Iowa's leading scorer really struggled against Temple, going 7-for-21 from the field, and a woeful 2-of-10 from beyond the arc. It's not going to get any easier against the Wildcats.

3. X-Factor - The under is 11-4-1 in Wildcats last 16 neutral site games.

Selection: This is a play on the Hawkeyes@Wildcats to go UNDER the total (10*)