The New Orleans Pelicans have lost nine of their last 11 overall, and it won't get any easier without Anthony Davis at home to the Clippers Sunday. The Clippers haven't had much success in the Big Easy, going 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New Orleans. They could be catching the Pelicans at a good time though, and I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this game. My money is on the over.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - New Orleans has gone over in seven of it's last eight overall, and terrible defense has been mostly to blame. During that span they've surrendered an average of more than 114 points per game. The over is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in New Orleans.


2. Jrue Holliday - The Pelicans PG scored 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting in a loss to Portland Friday. He was 4-of-4 from beyond the arc in that game, and he's shooting better than 40 percent from three-point range at home this year.

3. X-Factor - The over is 19-6-1 in Pelicans last 26 games playing on one days rest.

Selection: This is a play on the Clippers@Pelicans to go OVER the total (10*)