8* play on Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Brewers and the Pirates have split the first two games of this series in Pittsburgh, and the rubber match will go on Sunday. I like the Pirates to take advantage of an inexperienced Brewers starter in Game 3, and my money is on the Bucs.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Zach Davies is a 23 year old right-hander with just six major league starts. He'll get the call up from Triple-A to make a spot start in Pittsburgh on Sunday. The Pirates will hand the ball to Juan Nicasio, who was sharp in his season debut in Pittsburgh, allowing one run on two hits over six innings in a win over St. Louis.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Andrew McCutchen hit a home run is yesterday's 5-0 win, and he's 1-for-3 lifetime versus Davies. Starling Marte is 2-for-3 versus the right-hander.

3. X-Factor - Nicasio is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three previous meetings with Milwaukee over the last three seasons.

Selection: This is a play on the Pittsburgh Pirates (8*)