10* play on Detroit Red Wings.

The Detroit Red Wings dropped both meetings at Amalie Arena and a loss home in Motor City Sunday night would put the team in do-or-die mode for the rest of the series. I don't think Detroit is done for just yet though and I like the Wings to take one back with a win tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Reasons For Optimism In The Detroit Camp - The Lightning may hold a 2-0 lead in the series, but the Red Wings have owned a shot advantage in both games. Detroit coach Jeff Blashill is still optimistic. "We've got to make sure that we play with great intensity. We've got to make sure we control our emotions ... We've had opportunities in the last two games to win the hockey game and we didn't win it."

2. Home Cookin' - The Red Wings outscored Tampa Bay by a total of 5-2 over two regular-season wins here at Joe Louis Arena and Detroit is 11-3-1 on home-ice since the All-Star break. The Lightning are 2-5 in their last seven road games.

3. X-Factor - Detroit's Henrik Zetterberg is on a 13-game goal drought. I like the captain to end the slump and lead the way with a big performance tonight.

Selection: This is a play on the Detroit Red Wings (10*)