10* play on the OVER Raptors/Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have taken the homecourt advantage in the series away from the Raptors with a 100-99 win at Rogers Centre in the series-opener. A 98-87 defeat in Game 2 was pretty expected, but I like the Pacers to have a big night on offense here at home. The total for this game is lower than it was in the first two contests, and I think we could see more scoring here Indiana.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These two teams have failed to reach the total in both the first two games of this series, but they went over the total in six of the previous eight meetings. Even the the two games that went under during that span both saw more points than the number here in Game 3.

2. Paul George - The Indiana forward has stepped it up and tormented Toronto after putting up just an average of 16.3 points per game over the four regular-season meetings. He's been the dominant scorer in this series by a mile with 61 points spread out over the first two games, 26 points more than the Raptors-best Jonas Valanciunas.

3. X-Factor - The Raptors dynamic duo of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have been in a horrible shooting slump. An improved performance is expected here in Game 3.

Selection: This is a play on the Raptors@Pacers to go OVER the total (10*)