10* play on the Houston Rockets.

The Houston Rockets recovered well from a 104-78 defeat in the opener of this Western Conference Quarterfinals series against the Golden State Warriors and lost by just nine points in Game 2. This probably represents the Rockets' best chance of recording a win in this series being the first of two games at Toyota Center, and I like the Rockets' chances of pulling an upset tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Steph Curry - The reigning MVP is bothered by an ankle injury and sat out Monday's win. He's listed as day-to-day leading up to this game, but why would they risk their superstar here with a two-game lead in the series already.

2. Home Cookin' - The Rockets' fans and must realize that defeating the Warriors over a seven-game series is extremely unlikely to happen this year. Taking one game at home is more realistic, and the home town crowd support in H-Town will be absolutely mental for this contest.

3. X-Factor - Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Selection: This is a play on the Houston Rockets (10*)