1* free play on the Pacers...

The Indiana Pacers have taken the homecourt advantage in the series away from the Raptors with a 100-99 win at Rogers Centre in the series-opener. A 98-87 defeat in Game 2 was pretty expected, but I like the Pacers to take command of the series again with a home win at Bonkers Life Thursday night.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Situational - The Pacers are a great team to back coming off a loss as they're 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. The Raptors on the other hand are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.

2. Paul George - The Indiana forward has stepped it up and tormented Toronto after putting up just an average of 16.3 points per game over the four regular-season meetings. He's been the dominant scorer in this series by a mile with 61 points spread out over the first two games, 26 points more than the Raptors-best Jonas Valanciunas.

3. X-Factor - Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last nine Conference Quarterfinals games.

Selection: This is a play on the Indiana Pacers (Free)