1* free play on Grizz vs. Spurs to go OVER ...

The Spurs did not give the Memphis Grizzlies a chance in either of the first two games at San Antonio as they mauled their opponent by an average margin of 29 points. The Grizzlies haven't gotten anything going offensively against a smothering San Antonio defense, and the result has been two very low scoring games. The bookmakers have adjusted by dropping the total down almost 10 points from where it opened in Game 1. I like the over tonight as I expect the Grizz to play just a little better at home.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These teams have gone under in two of four meetings in Memphis, however all four games saw more than 181 points scored.

2. The Spurs Shooting From Behind The Arc - The Spurs have hit an amazing 48.7 percent from 3-point range so far in the playoffs. The reserves have shipped in plenty as point guard Patty Mills is 9-for-16 and Kevin Martin 7-for-12.

3. X-Factor - The Grizzlies have played higher scoring games at home than they have on the road, with the over going 20-8-2 in their last 30 home games.

Selection: This is a play on the Grizz@Spurs to go OVER the total (Free)