10* play on Houston Rockets.

The Houston Rockets didn't show any signs of being able to compete with the Warriors through the first two games of this series. Even without Steph Curry, Golden State cruised to a 115-106 win in Game 2. Everything changed in Game 3 in Houston though, and it sure looks like we have a series on our hands. My money is on the Rockets in Game 4.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These teams met in last year's playoffs, and two of the three home games for Golden State were decided by just a few points. None of the five games were decided by a number as high as what we saw in Games 1 & 2. History tells us that these teams are not as far apart as the bookmakers seem to think.

2. Klay Thompson - The other Splash Brother really struggled in Game 3, scoring just 17 points on 7-of-20 shooting. He was 0-for-7 from three-point range.

3. X-Factor - Houston is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Selection: This is a play on the Houston Rockets (10*)