The Miami Heat stole homecourt advantage away from the Toronto Raptors with a 102-96 overtime victory in the series opener at Air Canada Centre Tuesday night. The Raptors will now be desperate for a win to avoid traveling to Miami in a 2-0 hole, and I think they'll step it up with a better performance in front of the home town crowd tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Road Woes - The Heat have a losing road record this season and the team is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Raptors are 35-11 straight up home in Toronto with the playoffs included, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss.

2. The Raptor's Backcourt - DeMar Derozan has stepped up in recent games with 30 points when the Raptors clinched their series against Indiana and 22 points on 9-for-22 shooting in this series opener. Kyle Lowry is still in a shooting slump, but he did fire the halfcourt shot that sent Game 1 to overtime, and I think that will give his confidence a well needed boost for the upcoming games.

3. X-Factor - The favorite has dominated this series in recent seasons with a 10-4 ATS record. A back-to-back cover after Tuesday's outright upset is unlikely.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Raptors (10*)