Rogers' 10* NBA TOTAL MASSACRE - Won AGAIN Saturday!
(NBA) Cleveland vs. Atlanta,
Total: 203.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
The Atlanta Hawks are down 3-0 in their second round series versus Cleveland, and the Cavs have been putting on a shooting clinic, raining three-pointers at record pace in the last two games. The Hawks will try to salvage a little respect by avoiding a sweep in Game 4 at home tonight, and I expect to see more defense in this game than in the previous two.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - While the Cavs have scored at will in Games 2 and 3, we saw a low scoring battle in the series opener. Cleveland won Game 1 by a score of 104-93, and they held the Hawks to just 37.9 percent shooting in that game. The Hawks were one of the top defensive teams in the NBA during the regular season, and they allowed the fewest points per possession of any team after the All Star break.

2. Three-Point Shooting - Cleveland has hit a total of 46 three-pointers in the last two games, but this simply can't continue. The Cavs are shooting well above 50% from beyond the arc in the post-season, after hitting just 36.4 percent from three-point range during the regular season. It's only a matter of time before they stop falling, and Atlanta is going to be doing everything possible to make that happen.

3. X-Factor - The Hawks have gone under in five of their last seven home games, and eight of their last 11 overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Cavs@Hawks to go UNDER the total (10*)