PREMIUM
*10* TOTAL POWER ~ 79 GAMES OVER .500 YTD!
(MLB) Boston vs. Baltimore,
Total: 9.00 | 103.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 9.00 | 103.00 Over
Result: Win
10* Under Red Sox/Orioles (7:05 ET): It might be a "three horse race" in the American League East between Boston, Toronto and Baltimore, but it is the Red Sox that have clearly emerged as the team to beat in my estimation. Looking at their YTD run differential (+176), it far exceeds that of either the Blue Jays (+75) or Orioles (+27). Boston is off its first four-game sweep of the rival Yankees at Fenway since 1990 (I had them last night), which gives them the longest win streak in all of baseball (at four games). But two factors have me lukewarm on their chances Monday in Baltimore. One is that the Orioles' home record of 47-27 has to be respected. Two is that the Red Sox are off the Sunday night game, which puts them at a little bit of a disadvantage playing the following night. Therefore, we turn to the total and I'm going w/ the Under in this series opener.
These two teams just met last week at Fenway Park. Baltimore came in and was able to take two of three. Both of tonight's starting pitchers worked in that series and both had relatively strong showings, especially Rick Porcello for Boston. He went eight innings on Wednesday, allowing just one run on four hits, in a hard luck 1-0 loss. But losses, hard luck or not, have been few and far between this year for Porcello. He has turned in a remarkable campaign (22-8 TSR!), much better than anyone could have anticipated. He has a 3.12 ERA and 1.008 WHIP and every start but one since the All-Star Break has been quality! It's been 10 straight quality starts and his WHIP in the last seven is 0.77! Bottom line is that we should be able to count on Porcello holding up his end of the bargain in this one.
Dylan Bundy is a guy who pitches much better at home than on the road. Here at Camden Yards, he has a 2.67 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in six starts w/ the Under at 5-1. That's not a good sign for the Red Sox, who scored only three times off him last Tuesday. It's been awhile since Bundy has made it past the six inning mark, but that's okay b/c no one manages the bullpen any better than skipper Buck Showalter. David Ortiz is listed as questionable for tonight's game, which would leave a big hole in the Boston lineup. Baltimore scored only two runs in each of its last two games. With the stakes high here, this should be a low-scoring affair. 10* Under Red Sox/Orioles
These two teams just met last week at Fenway Park. Baltimore came in and was able to take two of three. Both of tonight's starting pitchers worked in that series and both had relatively strong showings, especially Rick Porcello for Boston. He went eight innings on Wednesday, allowing just one run on four hits, in a hard luck 1-0 loss. But losses, hard luck or not, have been few and far between this year for Porcello. He has turned in a remarkable campaign (22-8 TSR!), much better than anyone could have anticipated. He has a 3.12 ERA and 1.008 WHIP and every start but one since the All-Star Break has been quality! It's been 10 straight quality starts and his WHIP in the last seven is 0.77! Bottom line is that we should be able to count on Porcello holding up his end of the bargain in this one.
Dylan Bundy is a guy who pitches much better at home than on the road. Here at Camden Yards, he has a 2.67 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in six starts w/ the Under at 5-1. That's not a good sign for the Red Sox, who scored only three times off him last Tuesday. It's been awhile since Bundy has made it past the six inning mark, but that's okay b/c no one manages the bullpen any better than skipper Buck Showalter. David Ortiz is listed as questionable for tonight's game, which would leave a big hole in the Boston lineup. Baltimore scored only two runs in each of its last two games. With the stakes high here, this should be a low-scoring affair. 10* Under Red Sox/Orioles
