The set-up: J.A. Happ got to sit in the dugout and watch the Blue Jays explode for an eight-run fourth inning. He stuck around for five innings (allowed two runs on six hits) and the Jays' 10-2 victory allowed him to become MLB's second 20-game winner. Coupled with Baltimore's 5-2 loss to Boston, the Blue Jays moved a game ahead of the Orioles for the No.1 wild card spot, plus gave them a 2 1/2-game cushion over the Tigers. The Mariners lost for the fourth time in five games and they now trail the Blue Jays by four games and sit three games back of the Orioles for the AL's final playoff spot.

The pitching matchup: Aaron Sanchez (13-2, 3.17 ERA) takes the mound for the first time since September 11, as the Mariners counter with Felix Hernandez (11-6, 3.79 ERA). Sanchez was affected by a blister in his last outing and and gave up six ERs on five hits and four walks over just 3 2/3 innings of a no-decision against Boston (Red Sox won 11-8). Felix Hernandez has been Seattle's ace for years but he hasn't pitched like a ‘king' in 2016. He lost to Houston in his last outing, giving up six runs (five earned) on eight hits, including two HRs, in just 4 1/3 innings.

The pick: Sanchez has lost just once in his last 10 starts but note that the Blue Jays are only 5-5 in those games. He enters this contest off back-to-back poor outings, allowing nine ERs on 10 hits and six walks over just 10 2/3 innings (7.58 ERA). Hernandez is a modest 7-6 with a 4.30 ERA in 15 career starts against Toronto (Mariners are 8-7) and the bottom line line is that he's never pitched in a postseason game. That means most of his September starts over his 11-year career have come with the Mariners out of postseason contention. Seattle's postseason hopes are becoming slimmer by the day but the bet here is that Toronto's Sanchez is vulnerable and the Jays just have not stepped up in September, going 7-11. Seattle is a 10* play.