Rogers' NCAAF Late Show
(NCAAF) California vs. Arizona State,
Point Spread: 4.00 | -115.00 California (Away)
Result: Loss
California: Cal's Jared Goff was the LA Rams' first pick in the NFL draft but his replacement, senior transfer Davis Webb (Texas Tech), has been superb. He's completing 63.9 percent after three games, throwing for 1359 yards (that's over 450 per!) with 13 TDs and three INTs. The Bears opened with a 51-31 win over Hawaii (Aug. 26 in Australia), then lost 45-40 at San Diego State (note: the Aztecs own 13 straight wins). However, Cal took down then-No.11 Texas 50-43 last Saturday, as Webb threw for 396 yards with four TDs and zero INTs. WR Chad Hanson caught 12 passes for 196 yards and two TDs against Texas and leads the nation with a remarkable 40 catches in only three games! The Golden Bears have scored at least 40 points in each of their first three games (for just the third time in school history) but the defense has surrendered 39.7 PPG (117th) on 504.3 YPG (118th), despite holding Texas to just 10 second-half points last Saturday in that comeback win.

Arizona State: The Sun Devils have opened 3-0, averaging 48.0 PPG (9th) on 525.7 YPG (18th). RB Kalen Ballage already has 10 TDs (nine rushing) and is paired with fellow RB Demario Richard, who leads the team in rushing with 282 yards. QB Manny Wilkins has passed for 795 yards plus added 199 yards rushing (5.8 YPC). The ASU defense has limited all three opponents to less than 100 yards and comes in allowing just 73.7 YPG on the ground (9th). However, the ASU pass D is allowing 397.3 YPG through the air to rank dead-last in the nation (128th).

The pick: How can one lay points when ASU's pass D is so porous, especially when facing Cal's Webb (see his stats above)? Cal has won nine of the team's last 11 meetings with Arizona State and an added bonus is the Bears' PK, Matt Anderson, who has converted 15 straight FG attempts and made 20 of his last 21. Cal is 7-3 ATS as a road dog since the beginning of 2014 and adds another notch to its belt in this one. Cal is an 8* play.