Rogers' *10* NFL Total of the Week
(NFL) Dallas vs. San Francisco,
Total: 44.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Dallas: The Cowboys opened the season without QB Tony Romo. Dallas started two rookies in its backfield against NFC East rival the Giants in Week 1 and lost, 20-19. However, rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott have helped lead the Cowboys to consecutive wins in Week 2 and 3. QB Prescott may have only one TD pass after three games but he not thrown an interception in 99 attempts, while completing 66.7 percent of his passes. RB Elliott had his first career 100-yard game in Week 3 with 140 yards against the Bears, which followed an 83-yard effort in the team's Week 2 win over the Redskins. Dallas is winning the battle at the line of scrimmage, averaging 134.0 YPG rushing (6th), while holding opponents to a modest 91.0 YPG rushing (12th).

San Francisco: The 49ers opened the 2016 season at home and delivered a dominating 28-0 win over the LA Rams. However, San Francisco has learned how quickly momentum can shift in the NFL the last two weeks, losing 46-27 and 37-18. QB Blaine Gabbert won the starting job from the controversial Kaepernick to open the season but he's completed only 55.2 percent of his passes this season for 532 yards with three TDs and three INTs (QB rating of 68.6). The defense shut out the Rams in Week 1 but has allowed 83 points the last two games (41.5 per), while allowing 947 yards (473.5 per).

The pick: Gabbert and LA's Case Keenum are vying for the title of the NFL's "worst starting QB" and one must think the 49ers organization must really despise Colin Kaepernick to keep sticking with Gabbert. Yes, the Cowboys are 2-1 but they are not an explosive offensive team and their defense has been pretty good, allowing 20.0 PPG. The 49ers have been manhandled on the road but don't forget, they pitched a shut out in their Week 1 game at home (allowed 180 yards on 10 FDs). Also, let's not forget that San Francisco allowed just 16.9 PPG in its eight home games last season, with SEVEN of the eight staying under. Make the Under a 10* play.