Rogers' PRIMETIME SHOWDOWN (FSU/Miami) >> Big National TV Game!
(NCAAF) Florida State vs. Miami-FL,
Point Spread: 3.00 | -107.00 Florida State (Away)
Result: Win
Florida State: The Seminoles opened the season No. 5 in the AP poll and after opening 2-0, crept up to No. 2, behind Alabama. However, FSU lost 63-20 at Louisville on September 17 and then, after a big 55-35 bounce-back win at USF, lost 37-35 at home to North Carolina. The FSU defense was ravaged by Lamar Jackson (five total TDs ) and Louisville, allowing 530 yards and then again by North Carolina (538 yards allowed), as QB Mitch Trubisky threw for 405 yards and three TDs. Defense has become a real issue for the 'Noles, who are allowing 35.4 PPG (106th) on 438.4 YPG (94th). FSU's last three opponents, Louisville, South Florida, and North Carolina, have combined to score 135 points (that's 45.0 per!). FSU's offense remains top-notch, averaging 41.4 PPG (22nd) on 508.8 YPG (17th).

Miami: The Hurricanes are 4-0 (ranked 10th in the AP) and 1-0 in ACC play, as they get set to host FSU (0-2 in SEC play) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. Mark Richt's first season in Miami has gone as good as could have been expected and he would like to somewhat downplay this meeting saying, "You coach 33 years, it's not that big of a deal, Game 5." QB Brad Kaaya (935 YP with eight TDs / plus three rushing TDs) leads an offense averaging 47.0 PPG (4th) on 474.2 YPG (36th). The balance is excellent, with Miami rushing for 251.8 YPG (7.0 YPC!) and passing for 232.5 YPG. The Miami "D" has been just as good, holding opponents to 11.0 PPG (2nd) on 253.2 YPG (7th).

The pick: Recent roles are reversed for this FSU-Miami showdown, as Miami is ranked 10th and FSU 23rd (not sure why the Seminoles are still even ranked?). Is it time for Miami to break through? After all, these past two seasons, lesser Miami editions have taken the Seminoles to the final possession before losing close games. However, FSU is coming off a game in which the Seminoles just saw their streak of 22 straight home wins end (had been an FBS-best), so FSU is not about to see another streak end. What streak is that? The Seminoles last suffered back-to-back defeats in 2011 and their streak of 67 games without consecutive losses leads all current FBS schools. FSU is an 8* play.