Rogers' 10* NCAAF Late Show >> Hawaii 38-17 Last Week!
(NCAAF) Washington State vs. Stanford,
Point Spread: -7.00 | -107.00 Stanford (Home)
Result: Loss
Stanford: The Cardinal have won three Pac-12 titles in the past four seasons and if Stanford hopes to have a chance at a fourth one in five seasons, the Cardinal probably can't afford another conference loss. No. 15 Stanford is coming off a 44-6 loss at Washington, its worst defeat in coach David Shaw's six-year tenure. Stanford (3-1, 2-1 Pac-12) will try to pick up the pieces against Washington State on Saturday at Stanford Stadium. The 2015 Heisman runner-up (Christian McCaffrey) managed just 49 yards on 12 carries against Washington, his lowest output since a 2014 game against California. QB Ryan Burns has been so-so, completing 50 of 79 passes (63.3%) for 546 yards, with four TDs and two INTS but was held to 151 passing yards last week and was sacked six times! Stanford's defense has been solid (20.0 PPG on 359.2 YPG) but the offense, which averaged 37.8 PPG on 436 YPG in 2015, has averaged just 20.2 PPG (114th) on 309.8 YPG (122nd).

Washington State: The Cougars are 2-2 (1-0 Pac-12 play) and heavily rely on QB Luke Falk. He ranks fourth nationally in passing at 373.8 YPG, after going 36-of-48 for 371 yards without an interception in Washington State's 51-33 win over Oregon. Falk's completing 73.0 percent with 12 TDs and just two INTs plus is getting help from a running game which has doubled it's output from 2015. After averaging 80 YPG on they ground in 2015, this year's team is averaging 161.2 YPG on 5.4 YPC. Defensively, the Cougars have improved from allowing 33.7, 32.5 and 38.6 PPG in Mike Leach's first three seasons, to allowing 27.7 PPG in 2015 and after four games in 2016, 28.8 PPG.

The pick: WSU is 13-3 ATS as a rod dog since the start of the 2013 season (Leach's second at Pullman) but has also lost EIGHT in a row against Stanford. Yes, Stanford needed the Cougars to miss a 43-yard FG on the final play last year to escape with a 30-28 (-10 1/2) road win but note that the Cardinal had won the previous seven meeting all by at least seven points, with the average margin of victory checking in at 26.6 PPG. The Cardinal are 48-6 SU at Stanford Stadium since 2008 and have not dropped an October home game since 2007! Lay the points and make Stanford a 10* play.