Rogers' EARLY Saturday O/U Winner >> 67% Run With NCAAF Totals!
(NCAAF) WKU vs. Middle Tennessee,
Total: 76.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: Western Kentucky (3-3, 1-1 in C-USA) visits Middle Tennessee State (4-1, 2-0 in C-USA) on Saturday. The home team sits atop the C-USA East, tied with Old Dominion and FIU, so the visiting Hilltoppers can ill-afford to lose here and fall to 1-2 (MTSU would be 3-0, ODU has a bye and FIU plays at Charlotte).

Western Kentucky: The Hilltoppers trailed La. Tech 49-24 in the middle of the third quarter a week ago Thursday but made a furious rally, as a blocked punt and Mike White scoring passes of 31, 8 and 11 yards pulled WKU within three before it fell short, 55-52 WKU's pass D was shredded in that contest, as the Bulldogs' QB, Ryan Higgins, passed for 454 yards and 5 TDs. That effort leaves Western Ky ranked 115th in pass D, allowing 290.7 YPG. QB Mike White has thrown for 1,707 yards while completing 65.8% with 14 TDs and just 3 INTs. He owns a pair of excellent wide-outs in Taylor (42 catches / 4 TDs) and Norris (36 catches / 8 TDs).

Middle Tennessee State: The Blue Raiders also own a prolific QB in Brent Stockstill, who has thrown for 1,657 yards (in just five games) while completing 61.7% with 15 TDs and only 4 INTs. Multi-dimensional RB I'Tavius Mathers, an Ole Miss transfer, has run for 582 yards (6.3 YPC & 8 TDs) plus has 20 receptions and two more TDs. This offense can surely trade scores with Western Ky, as MTSU averages 37.6 PPG (32nd) but the Blue Raiders can also play some defense, allowing 23.0 PPG, which ranks 40th in the nation.

The pick: It may look easy to say "over," especially if one looks at last year's game, a 58-28 Western Ky win. However, I expect the home team to dictate play here and for this contest rto stay below this huge number. The Under is an 8* play.