Rogers' *10* SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH >> Won Total of the Month Last Saturday!
(NCAAF) Arkansas vs. Auburn,
Total: 55.50 | -107.00 Under
Result: Win
The set-up: Eight SEC teams made the most recent AP top-25 poll, released on October 18. Two of them, No. 17 Arkansas (5-2, 1-2 SEC) and No. 21 Auburn (4-2, 2-1 SEC) will meet on Saturday. In the 25 meetings overall, Auburn has outscored Arkansas by just 633-629, although 11 of the past 15 meetings were decided by 17 points or more. It took four overtimes last year before the Razorbacks escaped with a 54-46 win after the teams finished regulation deadlocked at 24-24. The Razorbacks have won four of their last six overall matchups with ranked opponents and three straight on the road. The Tigers are the third consecutive ranked opponent for Arkansas, which rebounded from a 49-30 loss to top-ranked Alabama with a 34-30 win over then-No. 12 Ole Miss last week.

Arkansas: The Razorbacks come in 5-2 (1-2 in the SEC) featuring the SEC's leading rusher in Rawleigh Williams III (785 yards on 5.6 YPC with 5 TDs), who had 180 yards against Ole Miss. Arkansas averages 179.7 YPG on the ground and QB Austin Allen is completing 63.0% for 1,861 yards with 18 TDs and just 6 INTs. Allen also leads the SEC in passing yards and TD passes plus is the only player in the nation with multiple TD passes in seven games this season. The Razorbacks have put up mediocre defensive numbers (27.9 PPG on 398.9 YPG) and have really struggled to stop top-flight offenses, allowing 41.3 PPG in SEC play.

Auburn: The Tigers lost two of its first three games to a pair of highly ranked teams in Clemson and Texas A&M but Auburn has reeled off four straight wins, since. Head coach Gus Malzahn credits a resurgence in the offense to the bounce-back by his team. QB Sean White (69.7% with 6 TDs and 2 INTs) is beginning to play with more confidence plus Kamryn Pettway (505 yards on 5.5 YPC with 4 TDs) is joining with starter Kerryon Johnson (538 yards on 5.1 YPC with 6 TD) to give the Tigers a one-two punch at RB (the Tigers average 262.8 YPG on the ground to rank 12th in the nation). Defensively, Auburn is allowing 16.0 PPG (11th) on 346.8 YPG (30th).

The pick: Auburn has scored 96 points in its last two games and as noted above, the Arkansas defense has struggled in SEC play, allowing 45, 49 and 30 points. Auburn's defense is top-notch but the Arkansas offense is well-balanced and has not scored less than 30 points in any of its last six games. Make the Over a 10* play.