Rogers' PRIMETIME SHOWDOWN >>> *SPECIAL OFFER*
(NCAAF) Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech,
Point Spread: -13.50 | -114.00 Oklahoma (Away)
Result: Loss
The set-up: Oklahoma opened the season ranked No. 3 in the AP's preseason poll but as has happened so often since the Sooners won the 2000 national title, earning head coach Bob Stoops the nickname "Big Game Bob," Oklahoma pretty much took itself out of serious CFP consideration with losses to Houston (September 3) and to Ohio State on September 17. The sooners didn't just lose those two key games, they were beaten 33-23 by Houston (as almost a two-TD favorite) and at home by Ohio St, 45-24. Texas Tech comes in 3-3 (1-2 in the Big-12), after an embarrassing 48-17 home loss to West Virginia.

Oklahoma: QB Baker Mayfield was named the Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year in 2013 when he played in eight games as a freshman walk-on for the Red Raiders, passing for 2,315 yards and 12 touchdowns while completing 64.1 percent of his passes. He eventually walked on at Oklahoma and now returns to Jones AT&T Stadium leading the 16th-ranked Sooners against his former team and head coach. Mayfield has flourished with the Sooners, passing for 3,700 yards with 36 TDs and 7 INTs last season and enters this game completing 70.6% for 1,803 yards with 16 TDs and 5 INTs. RB Samaje Perine suffered an unidentified muscle pull in last week's 38-17 win over Kansas State and will be primarily replaced by Joe Mixon in this game. Oklahoma is averaging 202.7 YPG rushing to rank 38th in the nation.

Texas Tech: Speaking of QBs, Patrick Mahomes II has become one of the most prolific QBs in the nation at Texas Tech. Mahomes enters Saturday's contest as the nation's leader in passing yards (2,579 yards, 429.8 YPG) and total offense (455.2 YPG). He also ranks second in points responsible for (168) and leads the Big-12 in TD passes (21). However, Tech averages only 93.8 YPG on the ground (124th) and while the offense averages 48.8 PPG (5th), the defense allows 40.2 PPG (124th). The unit also ranks in the FBS bottom-30 in total defense (479.2 YPG), rushing defense (204.8 YPG) and passing defense (274.3 YPG) while forcing only five turnovers.

The pick: Texas Tech was held to a full 38 points below their per-game average last week against the Mountaineers in the 48-17 loss (Red Raiders entered averaging 55.2 PPG). The team's 17 points last week marked a 22-game low and snapped the team's NCAA-record streak of nine straight home games with at least 50 points. As for the Sooners, now that the team's CFP aspirations have been dashed, Oklahoma should be a hard team to beat the rest of the season. The Sooners have won their last eight true road games overall and will make it nine in a row here with plenty of room to spare. Lay the points and make Oklahoma an 8* play.