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(NFL) Arizona vs. Minnesota,
Point Spread: 2.50 | -110.00 Arizona (Away)
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Cards went 13-3 last year and reached the NFC championship game, leading the NFL in total offense at 408.3 YPG and finished second in scoring at 30.6 PPG. Arizona was a popular choice to again challenge for a Super Bowl berth but the Cards are just 4-4-1 as they visit Minnesota here in Week 11. The Vikings entered 2016 off an 11-5 season in 2015 (won NFC North) and despite losing starting QB Teddy Bridgewater in the preseason and RB Adrian Peterson for the year in Week 2, opened 5-0 SU & ATS. However, a Week 6 bye has seen the team go 0-4 SU & ATS since its return to the field.

Arizona: Carson Palmer had a career-season in 2015, throwing 35 TDs and just 11 INTs for a 104.6 QB rating. His 2016 season was interrupted by missing one game due to the league's concussion protocol but still, he has only 11 TD passes and eight INTs in 331 attempts (he had just 11 picks in 537 attempts last season). RB David Johnson gave hints of becoming a star late last year and he's confirmed that fact here in 2016. He has 760 yards rushing (3.3 YPC and 9 TDs) plus 40 catches with another TD. He ranks second in the league with 1,213 yards from scrimmage and is one of just three players in NFL history (Gale Sayers and Abner Haynes are the others) to record 15 rushing TDs, five receiving scores and a kickoff-return TD in his first two seasons. Arizona is only as good as its 4-4-1 record due to the great play of its defense, as the Cardinals rank third in points allowed (17.8 per) and second in total defense (295.2 YPG).

Minnesota: Despite the team's fast start and now four-game slide, the Vikings are tied for the NFC North lead with the Lions at 5-4 and play in Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. "We've been fortunate with some of the other things that have happened in the league that we're still in a good place," Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer said. "We can go out and win. I know everybody thinks I'm crazy, but my goal is to win the division. So, go out and get some wins and get going again. That's all." Bradford's numbers remain solid (69.6% completions for 232.1 YPG with an 11-2 ratio for a QB rating of 99.9) but Minnesota has averaged a woeful 14.0 PPG during its four-game losing streak. Bottom line is, the team ranks dead-last in rushing yards at 68.8 YPG (on a pathetic 2.7 YPC!) and overall, the team ranks last in total yards as well (302.23 YPG). Like with Arizona, Minnesota's defense has been the key to getting the Vikings this far, as Minnesota ranks first in points allowed (16.9 per) and third in total defense (308.8 YPG).

The pick: The Vikings have been outscored 89-5 in their four-game slide and even here at home, I'm not sure this team can "stop the bleeding." I realize that the Cards are just 1-1-1 SU their last three games (0-3 ATS) but David Johnson is the biggest impact player on the field plus it should also be noted that Carson Palmer as thrown for 300-plus yards in three straight games plus in four career games against the Vikings, has seven TD passes and just one INT. Arizona is a 10* play.