PREMIUM
Rogers' *10* Top Sunday Totals TICKET >> Won Thursday Night Total Easily!
(NFL) New England vs. San Francisco,
Total: 50.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 50.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Pats won Brady's first four games back from suspension but lost at home last Sunday night 31-24 to the Seahawks. New England now travels cross-country to take on the hapless San Francisco 49ers, who after a season-opening 28-0 shutout of the Rams, have lost eight straight games, failing to cover the first seven before getting the ATS win in last Sunday's 23-20 loss in Arizona.
New England: TE Rob Gronkowski was injured by a hit from Seattle's Earl Thomas last Sunday night but came back and finished the game. A report surfaced on Monday that he suffered a punctured lung but then Tuesday another report said it was a bruised sternum. Either way, he was ruled out of this game against the 49ers on Friday. Obviously, Gronk's absence makes the powerful New England offense weaker but the San Francisco defense ranks last (32nd) in both points allowed with 31.4 per game and yards allowed with 429.7 YPG. Also, let's not forget that Brady still has the luxury of throwing to backup TE Martellus Bennett, who made seven catches for 102 yards against Seattle. "Look, I've started the majority of my career," Bennett, who has three 100-yard performances this season, told reporters. "Starting in a football game is just football. It doesn't matter how I play or when I play. It's just the same thing." New England should also feature a heavy dose of LeGarrette Blount, who has a roller coaster like season but faces a San Francisco rush D which allows 180.4 YPG (again, 32nd) on 5.1 YPC.
San Francisco: I wonder if the 49ers' brass is re-thinking the team's quick hiring of Chip Kelly, after the Eagles let him go. The defense is a ‘nightmare' and while his specialty is offense, the 49ers ranks 29th in total offense (310.8 YPG) and 27th in scoring (20.8 PPG). Whether it's been Gabbert or Kaepernick as the starting QB, the team ranks 30th in passing (191.2 YPG). However, with Colin Kaepernick always a threat to take off with the football (228 rushing yards on 7.1 YPC), San Francisco does rank 7th in rushing (119.6 YPG). That said, New England's defense has played well all season, ranking sixth in points allowed, at 18.1 per game.
The pick: New England is averaging 32.0 since Brady returned and heading into the Seattle game, he had 12 TDs and not a single INT. He did throw for 316 yards against an excellent Seattle defense but he did not have a TD pass and threw his first interception of the season (only one in 166 attempts in five games). His QB rating is 125.5 but 133.9 in his four victories. He should have a field day against the SF defense but note that Chip Kelly led the Eagles into Gillette Stadium last year and won, scoring 35 points! Kaepernick owns an 82.2 QB rating to Gabbert's 69.6 and with his ability to run, just should be able to score enough points to push this total over the number. The Over is a 10* play.
New England: TE Rob Gronkowski was injured by a hit from Seattle's Earl Thomas last Sunday night but came back and finished the game. A report surfaced on Monday that he suffered a punctured lung but then Tuesday another report said it was a bruised sternum. Either way, he was ruled out of this game against the 49ers on Friday. Obviously, Gronk's absence makes the powerful New England offense weaker but the San Francisco defense ranks last (32nd) in both points allowed with 31.4 per game and yards allowed with 429.7 YPG. Also, let's not forget that Brady still has the luxury of throwing to backup TE Martellus Bennett, who made seven catches for 102 yards against Seattle. "Look, I've started the majority of my career," Bennett, who has three 100-yard performances this season, told reporters. "Starting in a football game is just football. It doesn't matter how I play or when I play. It's just the same thing." New England should also feature a heavy dose of LeGarrette Blount, who has a roller coaster like season but faces a San Francisco rush D which allows 180.4 YPG (again, 32nd) on 5.1 YPC.
San Francisco: I wonder if the 49ers' brass is re-thinking the team's quick hiring of Chip Kelly, after the Eagles let him go. The defense is a ‘nightmare' and while his specialty is offense, the 49ers ranks 29th in total offense (310.8 YPG) and 27th in scoring (20.8 PPG). Whether it's been Gabbert or Kaepernick as the starting QB, the team ranks 30th in passing (191.2 YPG). However, with Colin Kaepernick always a threat to take off with the football (228 rushing yards on 7.1 YPC), San Francisco does rank 7th in rushing (119.6 YPG). That said, New England's defense has played well all season, ranking sixth in points allowed, at 18.1 per game.
The pick: New England is averaging 32.0 since Brady returned and heading into the Seattle game, he had 12 TDs and not a single INT. He did throw for 316 yards against an excellent Seattle defense but he did not have a TD pass and threw his first interception of the season (only one in 166 attempts in five games). His QB rating is 125.5 but 133.9 in his four victories. He should have a field day against the SF defense but note that Chip Kelly led the Eagles into Gillette Stadium last year and won, scoring 35 points! Kaepernick owns an 82.2 QB rating to Gabbert's 69.6 and with his ability to run, just should be able to score enough points to push this total over the number. The Over is a 10* play.
