Rogers' 10* Sunday Night SHOWDOWN >> Packers @ Redskins! 16-7 Last 4 Days!
(NFL) Green Bay vs. Washington,
Point Spread: 3.00 | -117.00 Green Bay (Away)
Result: Loss
The set-up: Green Bay has lost three in a row and enters this Sunday night game in Washington against the Redskins at 4-5. The good news is that The Pack are still just one game behind the Lions and Vikings (both 5-4) and those two teams will meet Thanksgiving Day in Detroit. The surging Redskins have lost just once in their last seven games (5-1-1) but Washington plays in the NFC East, which is rivaling the AFC West for the NFL's toughest division. Dallas leads at 8-1 and even the Giants (6-3) are ahead of the 5-3-1 Redskins.

Green Bay: The Packers' string of seven consecutive playoff berths is matched only by the Patriots but Green Bay is in a rare spot. The Packers own a losing record through nine games for the first time since 2008, which is also the last time they failed to make the playoffs. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers has struggled for most of the season and he ranks in the bottom half of the league in QB rating, completion percentage and yards per attempt. It sure hasn't made his job easier that the Packers have been unable to establish a running game during their three-game slide, averaging only 97.7 YPG.

Washington: The Redskins' offense is led by QB Kirk Cousins, who has thrown for 2,716 yards and completed 66.9 percent of his passes (14 TDs and 7 INTs with a 94.8 QB rating). He has one of the deepest group of pass-catching threats in the league, with six players having at least 26 receptions.Washington ranks third with 294.4 YPG through the air, helping the team rank 4th in total offense (407.8 YPG). Cousins and the Washington offense will severely test a Green Bay defense that has surrendered 141 points in its last four defeats (35.3 per), including a 47-25 thrashing at Tennessee last week.

The pick: While the Washington offense is 4th in total yards, that's not quite translating into putting points on the board, as the Redskins are averaging a more modest 23.6 PPG (16th). Here's the bottom line; Green Bay's season is on the brink. However, this scenario seems very much like last year's wild card game. The Redskins had won four in a row and the Packers had lost two in a row. Washington promptly jumped on Green Bay by taking an 11-0 lead but it was all Green Bay the rest of the way in what turned out to be a 35-18 victory for The Pack. Yes, Rodgers' season has been a disappointment overall but after averaging an almost hard-to-believe 205.7 YPG passing in his first three games, he's averaged 298.8 YPG through the air his last six. This game has a "playoff feel" and like last January, I'll back Rodgers over Cousins. Green Bay is a 10* play.