PREMIUM
Rogers' *10* MNF WINNER >> SPECIAL OFFER
(NFL) Houston vs. Oakland,
Point Spread: -6.00 | -102.00 Oakland (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -6.00 | -102.00 Oakland (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: Two first-place teams, the 6-3 Houston Texans and the 7-2 Oakland Raiders (yes, the Raiders lead the AFC West) meet Monday night, as the NFL returns to Mexico City for the first time in 11 years. Oakland is the designated "home team"but the Raiders hardly mind playing away from home here in 2016, as they are 5-0 SU & ATS away from Oakland this season!
Houston: The Texans made a big deal of signing QB Brock Osweiler to a four-year, $72 million contract that will pay him $37 million in the first two years that is fully guaranteed for practical purposes. Osweiler threw for a pair of TD passes in Houston's 24-21 Week 10 win at Jacksonville last Sunday but also had only 99 passing yards for the entire game. Houston enters the contest with the league's second-worst passing attack (187.3 YPG), with Osweiler completing 58.6% with 11 TDs, 9 INTs and an awful QB rating of 74.1. The team ranks 30th in total offense (308.8 YPG) and 29th in scoring (17.9 PPG). A running game which averages 121.4 YPG (5th) has helped plus even without J.J. Watt, the defense ranks fourth in yards allowed (317.4 per) and 12th in scoring (20.9 PPG).
Oakland: The Raiders have no questions regarding their QB. Derek Carr showed signs of brilliance in each of his first two seasons, while playing for a team with no running game (Raiders were dead-last his rookie season with 77.5 YPG on 3.7 YPC and only slightly improved last year to 91.1 YPG on 3.9 YPC) and one which went 3-13 in his rookie season and 7-9 last year. Oakland is not only averaging 127.8 YPG (4th-best) on the ground this year but its YPC is basically one-yard per carry higher at 4.8! Carr comes into this Week 11 game averaging 273.3 YPG through the air (5th), completing 66.1% with 17 TDs and just 3 INTs for a 99.1 QB rating. The Oakland offense ranks 5th in both scoring (27.2 PPG) and total yards (401.1 YPG). Carr's got great rapport with second-year WR Amari Cooper (leads team in catches with 58 and receiving yards with 843) and veteran Michael Crabtree, who has 49 grabs and a team-leading six TD catches. Defense is an issue though, as the Raiders allow 390.0 YPG (30th) and 24.8 PPG (22nd).
The set-up: Oakland's biggest weakness on the defensive side of the ball is its pass D (283.2 YPG ranks 31st) but will Osweiler be able to take advantage of that ? Based on how he's played so far in 2016, the answer is an emphatic N-O! Oakland enters having won six of its last seven, including three in a row in which the team has averaged 31.0 PPG. The OL is not only opening holes for Oakland's running game this season but Carr's been sacked just a league-low 11 times. The Raiders are off a bye week and note that the team is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 non-home contests. As for the Texans, while this is not a true road game, it hardly bodes well that in four road games in 2016, Houston is 1-3 SU, beating only the hapless Jags (2-8), 24-21. In the three losses, the Texans have scored a total of just 22 points (7.3 per), losing by margins of 27, 18 and 18! Oakland is a 10* play.
Houston: The Texans made a big deal of signing QB Brock Osweiler to a four-year, $72 million contract that will pay him $37 million in the first two years that is fully guaranteed for practical purposes. Osweiler threw for a pair of TD passes in Houston's 24-21 Week 10 win at Jacksonville last Sunday but also had only 99 passing yards for the entire game. Houston enters the contest with the league's second-worst passing attack (187.3 YPG), with Osweiler completing 58.6% with 11 TDs, 9 INTs and an awful QB rating of 74.1. The team ranks 30th in total offense (308.8 YPG) and 29th in scoring (17.9 PPG). A running game which averages 121.4 YPG (5th) has helped plus even without J.J. Watt, the defense ranks fourth in yards allowed (317.4 per) and 12th in scoring (20.9 PPG).
Oakland: The Raiders have no questions regarding their QB. Derek Carr showed signs of brilliance in each of his first two seasons, while playing for a team with no running game (Raiders were dead-last his rookie season with 77.5 YPG on 3.7 YPC and only slightly improved last year to 91.1 YPG on 3.9 YPC) and one which went 3-13 in his rookie season and 7-9 last year. Oakland is not only averaging 127.8 YPG (4th-best) on the ground this year but its YPC is basically one-yard per carry higher at 4.8! Carr comes into this Week 11 game averaging 273.3 YPG through the air (5th), completing 66.1% with 17 TDs and just 3 INTs for a 99.1 QB rating. The Oakland offense ranks 5th in both scoring (27.2 PPG) and total yards (401.1 YPG). Carr's got great rapport with second-year WR Amari Cooper (leads team in catches with 58 and receiving yards with 843) and veteran Michael Crabtree, who has 49 grabs and a team-leading six TD catches. Defense is an issue though, as the Raiders allow 390.0 YPG (30th) and 24.8 PPG (22nd).
The set-up: Oakland's biggest weakness on the defensive side of the ball is its pass D (283.2 YPG ranks 31st) but will Osweiler be able to take advantage of that ? Based on how he's played so far in 2016, the answer is an emphatic N-O! Oakland enters having won six of its last seven, including three in a row in which the team has averaged 31.0 PPG. The OL is not only opening holes for Oakland's running game this season but Carr's been sacked just a league-low 11 times. The Raiders are off a bye week and note that the team is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 non-home contests. As for the Texans, while this is not a true road game, it hardly bodes well that in four road games in 2016, Houston is 1-3 SU, beating only the hapless Jags (2-8), 24-21. In the three losses, the Texans have scored a total of just 22 points (7.3 per), losing by margins of 27, 18 and 18! Oakland is a 10* play.
