Rogers' MNF Coach's Clinic >> 5 Straight Winning Days!
(NFL) Green Bay vs. Philadelphia,
Point Spread: 4.00 | -107.00 Green Bay (Away)
Result: Win
The set-up: The Packers snuck into the 2010 postseason as the NFC's No. 6 seed, won three straight road games and then the Super Bowl over the Steelers. Green Bay has begun each season since, with championship aspirations and has annually been a top Super Bowl contender. However, despite a 15-1 season the year after the team won the Super Bowl, the Packers not only haven't won any Super Bowls the last five seasons, they haven't even reached one. After a 3-1 start here in 2016, the Packers limp into this Monday night affair against the Eagles having lost five of their last six. As for the Eagles, they "Wentzed" their way to a 3-0 start but come into tonight's game as the only NFC East team without a winning record at 5-5.

Green Bay: The Packers come in on a four-game slide, in which QB Aaron Rodgers has overcome some poor early season efforts with more typical play but the Green Bay defense has allowed 38.3 PPG in the slide, after allowing 47 and 42 points the last two weeks, the first time Green Bay has allowed back-to-back 40-point games since 1953, while also allowing four consecutive 30-point games for the first time since 1952. Getting back to Rodgers, after throwing for an average of just 234.0 YPG through Green Bay's first five games, he's averaged 318.2 YPG passing the last five games with 15 TD passes and just three INTs. However, winning when one's defense can't stop anyone, has been a "bridge too far."

Philadelphia: Led by a stout defense that allowed just 9.0 PPG and a rookie QB named Carson Wentz who averaged 256.3 YPG through the air with five TDs and zero INTs, the Eagles opened 3-0. However, a late 24-23 los to the Lions in Week 4, has seen the team go just 2-5 their last seven games with the defense allowing 22.7 PPG in that span and Wentz coming back to earth as well, throwing six TDs with seven INTs and four times having a QB rating of under 80.0. Maybe it shouldn't be a surprise that the rookie QB is struggling some, as the Eagles have very few playmakers in the receiving corps or in their group of RBs.

The pick: Despite the team's recent struggles, Philadelphia is 4-0 SU & ATS at home in 2016, outscoring opponents 27.0-to-9.5 PPG. The Packers come in having lost four in a row on the road but in this "must-win" game for both teams, I'll back The Pack. Aaron Rodgers is playing up to his past form and while the Packers had seven starters out by the end of the Washington game last Sunday, including both starting CBs and both starting inside linebackers, will Carson Wentz really be able to take advantage of that like Cousins did or Mariota the week before for Tennessee. Remember, Wentz had a 103.5 passer rating with seven TDs vs. one interception through four games but in his last six games, he's owns a QB rating of 72.3 with four TDs and six INTs. The rookie ‘blinks' in this showdown and I'll make Green Bay an 8* play.