Rogers' Saturday Bowl Total MASSACRE >> 75% NCAAF Run!
(NCAAF) UCF vs. Arkansas State,
Total: 50.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Sun Belt's Arkansas State (7-5) will meet 6-6 Central Florida of the AAC in the Cure Bowl, played at Camping World Stadium in Orlando. UCF went 0-12 in 2015 but won six of its first 10 games this season under first-year coach Scott Frost before losing to Tulsa and South Florida. Meanwhile, Arkansas State began the season 0-4, including a 51-14 loss to Auburn, before winning seven of its last eight to gain a share of the school's fifth Sun Belt Conference title in six years.

Arkansas State: The Red Wolves are led by sophomore QB Justice Hansen, who did not open the season as the starter but has completed 58.9% for 2,514 yards with 16 TDs and 8 INTs (10-2 ratio over the team's last six games). He has a variety of weapons at his disposal as five receivers have accumulated 300 yards but the running game is not a big help, averaging 146.2 YPG to rank 102nd. However, the defense is very good, allowing 22.2 PPG (24th), In fact, defensive end Ja'Von Rolland-Jones was the Sun Belt Conference's overall Player of the Year! "I think any time a defensive player is picked as Player of the Year it's a little bit surprising," Wolves head coach Blake Anderson said. "It doesn't happen that often." He's right about that.

Central Florida: The roller coaster ride for UCF since 2012 has been quite a story. The Knights went 10-4 with a bowl win in 2012, 12-1 with a an upset of Baylor (at plus-16) in the Fiesta Bowl in 2013 and then 9-4 with a bowl loss in 2014 (all under George O'Leary). However, the Knights went 0-12 in O'Leary's final season (2015), which brought Scott Frost to Orlando and now back in the business of ‘bowling!' McKenzie Milton is a true freshman from Hawaii and made nine starts at QB after taking over for senior Justin Holman. He is averaging almost 201 yards through the air with a modest nine TD passes and seven interceptions. The running game averages 151.9 YPG which ranks 96th but UCF does average 30.1 PPG. The defense, led by LB Shaquem Griffin (American Athletic Conference Defensive Player of the Year), allows 24.1 PPG (40th).

The pick: The Red Wolves are playing in the sixth consecutive bowl game and for UCF's 5th-year seniors, this will be their fourth bowl game. Both teams play good defense but ASU has seen its last three bowl games average 75.0 PPG and UCF has seen its last three bowl games average 70.0 PPG. That makes the Over an 8* play.