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(NBA) Memphis vs. Golden State,
Total: 216.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Golden State Warriors own the league's best record at 31-5 and host the 22-16 Memphis Grizzlies tonight at Oracle Arena. The Warriors will be looking to avenge one of their most lopsided losses of the season tonight, as back on Dec. 10 at Memphis, the Grizzlies took down Golden State, 110-89. The Grizz had better watch out. The Warriors have had a chance to avenge just one other defeat this season and 19 days after the Lakers crushed the Warriors 117-97 in LA, Golden State blasting the Lakers 149-106 in Oakland. This time round, the Warriors have had 27 days to stew over the loss at Memphis.

Memphis: The Grizzlies rank third in points allowed (98.6 PPG) but they've have struggled defensively of late, allowing 112 or more points in each of their last four losses during a 2-4 run. Memphis head coach David Fizdale noted in the wake of Wednesday's 115-106 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers that he believes his team knows what it'll take to turn things around against the Warriors in the finale of a four-game trip. "If you can't be up to play Golden State, then you are in the wrong business," he said. "I look at every game as an opportunity to turn it around. We obviously aren't defending at the levels we like. We gave up 116 (Tuesday against the Los Angeles Lakers) and 115 (against the Clippers). That's very uncharacteristic of us."

Golden State: The Warriors are 4-0 on their current homestand, although all of the wins have come by between eight and 10 points, as the Warriors are 1-3 ATS. Golden State is an NBA-best 16-2 at home but must cover outrageous pointspreads, leaving them 8-10 ATS. There's no need to list the team's "Core 4," which is the envy of every GM in the league. Golden State is the league's highest-scoring (117.5 PPG) and best-shooting (49.1%) team in the NBA. However, back in Memphis on Dec. 10, the Grizzlies held Curry to 17 points on 4-of-14 shooting from the floor and his backcourt sidekick Klay Thompson was held to eight points (also on 4-of-14 shooting). Golden State shot just 44.2 percent in the game and the league leaders in assists at 31.2 per game were limited to 15, with the team's 89 points representing its lowest scoring output this season.

The pick: I expect Golden State to gets its revenge but note that while Golden State is an offensive ‘machine,' it also ranks first in defensive FG percentage (43.%), as well as three-point percentage (32.6%). Meanwhile, Memphis ranks 28th (of 30 teams) in scoring at 98.8 PPG, on 42.3 percent shooting (30th!). The Under is a 10* play.