The set-up: After Cleveland lost Game 1 in the fashion that it did, you could visually see the Cavs have a mental collapse. In fact it was reported that the Cavaliers were completely dejected after the difficult setback. And that was carried over into Game 2, where they got out to a slow start and then they were never able to catch up. Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant and the rest of the defending champions can now "smell the blood in the water" and I believe that laying the larger price on the money line is the sharp call in Game 3.

The teams: The Warriors are shooting 47.9 percent from the floor in the playoffs, including only 35.6 percent from range. Curry though would hit a record nine three-pointers in Game 2 and the super star sharp-shooter now looks like he's back to top form. Durant had 26 points, nine boards and seven assists in the victory, while Klay Thompson added 20.

The Cavaliers are shooting just 45.7 percent from the floor in the playoffs, including only 33.5 percent from 3-point land. LeBron James had 29 points, nine boards and 13 assists in the Game 2 loss, while Kevin Love added 22 points and ten boards. After his colossal Game 1 blunder, JR Smith had just five points last time out.

The pick: This pick is on the money line, but I'll point out that Golden State is still 21-16 ATS the last three years when leading in a playoff series, while Cleveland is just 7-19 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more. Forget the spread and lay the price on the surging Warriors.