The set-up: I played on the Golden Knights in Game 4 and while that pick came up short, I firmly believe that Las Vegas will finally respond in this "do or die" situation. Once again it'll be Braden Holtby for the Capitals in net and he's so far 15-7 with a 2.13 GAA, while the Knights will go with Marc Andre Fleury, who is 13-6 with a 2.15 GAA.

The teams: Washington is the highest scoring team in the playoffs this year with 3.57 GPG average, but overall the Capitals are 30-23 on the road, averaging 3.08 goals and allowing 3.08 as well. TJ Oshie netted his eighth of the playoffs in the Game 4 victory, while Devante Smith-Pelly notched his sixth.

Vegas is averaging 2.84 goals in the playoffs this season, but overall the Golden Knights have gone 36-14 at home and they've averaged 3.58 goals and allowed just 2.42 in those games. James Neal scored in the Game 4 setback, his sixth so far of the year.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Washington is 3-8 in its last 11 after scoring five goals or more in its previous contest, while Vegas is 6-1 in its last seven after allowing five or more goals in its previous game. I think that the Golden Knights' "magic" returns in Game 5 (for one game at least!) Lay the price.