The set-up: Atlanta had the day off yesterday, while LA comes to town off a series win over the Pirates. There is a big talent gap on the mound today in my opinion, one so wide that it makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying. The Braves send Brandon McCarthy to the hill, while the Dodgers go with Walker Buehler.

The pitchers: McCarthy is so far 5-2 with a 4.83 ERA. McCarthy most recently gave up two runs off four hits over six innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Saturday. Previous to that decent outing though McCarthy had been rocked for five runs. To go along with his uninspiring ERA, McCarthy also owns a pedestrian 1.50 WHIP (also note that he has a 5.93 ERA in all "night" games.)

Buehler is 3-1 with a 2.74 ERA so far. Most recently Buehler gave up four runs off eight hits with two walks over five innings in a no-decision against the Rockies on Saturday. Considering the venue (Coors Field), it was another solid outing for the rookie. Note that it was in fact the first time in eight starts that he'd strike out less than six opponents (also note that Buehler owns a minuscule 1.44 ERA at home so far.)

The pick: Take it for what you will, but the Dodgers are 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring eight or more runs in their previous contest (LA won 8-7 in Pittsburgh yesterday afternoon.) I'm banking on Buehler continuing his strong play at home and for McCarthy to once again take a step back. Lay the price.