The set-up: Jon Gray gets the nod for the Rockies in this one. Gray's overall performance to this point is likely better than what his numbers would indicate, but I still think he'll have a hard time matching pace with Phillies' ace Aaron Nola tonight.

The pitchers: Gray is so far 6-6 with a 5.66 ERA. Gray earned a victory last time out against the Reds, allowing three runs off seven hits while striking out five over five frames on Wednesday. Gray has been better on the road than at home (not surprising considering it's Coors Field we're talking about), but he still enters with a poor 3-3, 4.73 ERA record away from friendly confines.

Nola is 7-2 with a 2.35 ERA. Most recently Nola would give up three runs and post six strikeouts over six innings in a loss to the Cubs on Wednesday. It was probably his worst start of the season, so there's nothing to panic about at this point obviously. Not only does Nola own the sharp 2.35 ERA, but he also has an 80:22 K/W over 85 innings of work so far this season.

The pick: Both teams have been sliding in June. Note though that the Rockies are a poor 11-12 (-1.3 units) against clubs with winning records this year, while the Phillies are a decent 13-10 (+3.3 units) against teams with losing records. With its ace on the mound, I expect Philadelphia to get the job done in this matchup.