The set-up: The Mercury played on Saturday night and suffice it to say, I think Phoenix will come in a little flat-footed in the second game of the back to back. Las Vegas has struggled with game-to-game consistency all year and the last thing it can do is to turn this one into a "track meet" and expect to "hang" with Phoenix. When you add it all up, this number seems a little high.

The teams: Phoenix is led by Brittney Grier, with 20.8 points per game. Dian Taurasi is also a big contributor, leading the team with 4.4 assists. Grier also dominates the glass for the team with 7.3 boards per night.

Las Vegas is led by A'ja Wilson with 20.3 points per night. Lindsay Allen directs the show with an average of 4.3 assists per night. A'ja Wilson also gets the job done on the boards with 7.3 per night.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Phoenix has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its six on the road already this year, while Las Vegas has seen the total go "under" in both games that it's already played in this season after a loss by ten points or more. Play the "under."