The set-up: Seattle came out on top 5-3 yesterday and I believe it'll find a way to get the job done here as well in what sets up as another favorable matchup on the mound for it. The visitors go with James Paxton, while the home side goes with Kevin Gausman.

The pitchers: Paxton is so far 6-2 with a 3.72 ERA. Paxton enters off an outing to forget against the Yankees, giving up four earned runs over five innings. The hard-throwing southpaw would have nine strikeouts though. Another bright spot was that his fast ball touched 97 MPH at times. While he hasn't been at his absolute best of late, I don't think there's any reason to push the panic button at this point. Note that he's 3-1 with a 3.56 ERA on the road this season.

Gausman is so far 3-6 with a 4.38 ERA. Gausman most recently allowed two runs and four walks with four hits while striking out three over six innings in a no-decision to the Nationals on Thursday. Gausman hasn't won since May 11th. Note that he's 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA at home.

The pick: And take it for what you will as well, but Seattle is 33-16 (+15.3 units) this year in all "night" games, while Baltimore is just 14-32 (-16.3 units) in in all "night" games. I'm banking on Paxton going farther than Gausman in this one. Lay the price, play on the Mariners.